Safety, Pharmacokinetics, and Efficacy Signals of Larsucosterol (DUR-928) in Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis.

INTRODUCTION: This study is to evaluate the safety and pharmacokinetics (PK) of larsucosterol (DUR-928 or 25HC3S) in subjects with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH), a devastating acute illness without US Food and Drug Administration-approved therapies. METHODS: This phase 2a, multicenter, open-label, dose escalation study evaluated the safety, PK, and efficacy signals of larsucosterol in 19 clinically diagnosed subjects with AH. Based on the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, 7 subjects were considered to have moderate AH and 12 to have severe AH. All subjects received 1 or 2 intravenous infusions (72 hours apart) of larsucosterol at a dose of 30, 90, or 150 mg and were followed up for 28 days. Efficacy signals from a subgroup of subjects with severe AH were compared with those from 2 matched arms of those with severe AH treated with standard of care (SOC), including corticosteroids, from a contemporaneous study. RESULTS: All 19 larsucosterol-treated subjects survived the 28-day study. Fourteen (74%) of all subjects including 8 (67%) of the subjects with severe AH were discharged ≤72 hours after receiving a single infusion. There were no drug-related serious adverse events nor early terminations due to the treatment. PK profiles were not affected by disease severity. Biochemical parameters improved in most subjects. Serum bilirubin levels declined notably from baseline to day 7 and day 28, and MELD scores were reduced at day 28. The efficacy signals compared favorably with those from 2 matched groups treated with SOC. Lille scores at day 7 were <0.45 in 16 of the 18 (89%) subjects with day 7 samples. Lille scores from 8 subjects with severe AH who received 30 or 90 mg larsucosterol (doses used in phase 2b trial) were statistically significantly lower ( P < 0.01) than those from subjects with severe AH treated with SOC from the contemporaneous study. DISCUSSION: Larsucosterol was well tolerated at all 3 doses in subjects with AH without safety concerns. Data from this pilot study showed promising efficacy signals in subjects with AH. Larsucosterol is being evaluated in a phase 2b multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled (AHFIRM) trial.

A novel score of IL-13 and age predicts 90-day mortality in severe alcohol-associated hepatitis: A multicenter plasma biomarker analysis.

BACKGROUND: Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) has a high short-term mortality rate. The MELD assesses disease severity and mortality; however, it is not specific for AH. We screened plasma samples from patients with severe AH for biomarkers of multiple pathological processes and identified predictors of short-term mortality. METHODS: Plasma was collected at baseline from 85 patients with severe AH (MELD≥20, Maddrey's discriminant function≥32) enrolled in the Defeat Alcoholic Steatohepatitis clinical trial (investigating IL-1 receptor antagonist+pentoxifylline+zinc vs. methylprednisolone+placebo). Samples were analyzed for 43 biomarkers and the markers' association with 28- and 90-day mortalities was assessed. RESULTS: Thirty-one (36.5%) patients died during the 90-day follow-up with similar ratios in the treatment groups. Eight biomarkers showed an association with mortality. IL-6, IL-22, interferon-α2, soluble TNF receptor 1, lipocalin-2, and α-fetoprotein levels were associated with 28-day mortality, while IL-6, IL-13, and endotoxin levels with 90-day mortality. In multivariable Cox regression, encephalopathy, lipocalin-2, and α-fetoprotein levels were independent predictors of 28-day mortality, and IL-6, IL-13, international normalized ratio levels, and age were independent predictors of 90-day mortality. The combination of IL-13 and age had superior performance in predicting 90-day mortality compared with MELD in the total cohort and the individual treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: We identified predictors of short-term mortality in a cohort exclusively involving patients with severe AH. We created a composite score of IL-13 and age that predicts 90-day mortality regardless of the treatment type with a performance superior to MELD in severe AH.

Accuracy of ultrasonographic fatty liver index using point-of-care ultrasound in stratifying non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in the USA. Some of these patients develop non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), which can progress to cirrhosis. Ultrasound imaging is one of the most used modalities for diagnosing hepatic steatosis. Primary care providers are increasingly using point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS), which could increase the number of subjects diagnosed with NAFLD. This study evaluates the accuracy of POCUS in identifying patients with NASH. METHODS: Patients with hepatic steatosis without excess alcohol intake or other liver diseases undergoing liver biopsy were included in this study. These patients underwent POCUS and vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) evaluations within 3 months of a liver biopsy. A comparison of POCUS data with liver histology and VCTE were made to assess the validity of POCUS evaluation in diagnosing NAFLD and NASH. RESULTS: The steatosis score from the liver histology had a low correlation with the controlled attenuation parameter score from VCTE ( r  = 0.27) and a moderate correlation with the grade of steatosis detected by the POCUS exam ( r  = 0.57). The NAFLD activity score on histology was found to correlate with the ultrasonographic fatty liver index (USFLI) from the POCUS exam ( r  = 0.59). A USFLI ≥ 6 diagnosed NASH with a sensitivity of 81%, and a value of ≤3 ruled out the diagnosis of NASH with a sensitivity of 100%. CONCLUSION: The provider can use the POCUS exam in clinical practice to diagnose NAFLD and reliably stratify patients who have NASH.

The Beneficial Effects of Lactobacillus GG Therapy on Liver and Drinking Assessments in Patients with Moderate Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis.

INTRODUCTION: We investigated the effect of daily oral Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG (LGG) in reducing liver injury/severity and drinking in patients with alcohol use disorder and moderately severe alcohol-associated hepatitis. METHODS: Forty-six male and female individuals with alcohol use disorder and moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis (12 ≤ model for end-stage liver disease score < 20, aged 21-67 years) received either LGG (n = 24) or placebo (n = 22). Data were collected/assessed at baseline and at 1, 3, and 6 months. RESULTS: LGG treatment was associated with a significant reduction in liver injury after 1 month. Six months of LGG treatment reduced heavy drinking levels to social or abstinence levels. DISCUSSION: LGG treatment was associated with an improvement in both liver injury and drinking.

Alcohol-induced extracellular ASC specks perpetuate liver inflammation and damage in alcohol-associated hepatitis even after alcohol cessation.

BACKGROUND AIMS: Prolonged systemic inflammation contributes to poor clinical outcomes in severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) even after the cessation of alcohol use. However, mechanisms leading to this persistent inflammation remain to be understood. APPROACH RESULTS: We show that while chronic alcohol induces nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor family, pyrin domain containing 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome activation in the liver, alcohol binge results not only in NLRP3 inflammasome activation but also in increased circulating extracellular apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a caspase recruitment domain (ex-ASC) specks and hepatic ASC aggregates both in patients with AH and in mouse models of AH. These ex-ASC specks persist in circulation even after the cessation of alcohol use. Administration of alcohol-induced-ex-ASC specks in vivo in alcohol-naive mice results in sustained inflammation in the liver and circulation and causes liver damage. Consistent with the key role of ex-ASC specks in mediating liver injury and inflammation, alcohol binge failed to induce liver damage or IL-1ß release in ASC-deficient mice. Our data show that alcohol induces ex-ASC specks in liver macrophages and hepatocytes, and these ex-ASC specks can trigger IL-1ß release in alcohol-naive monocytes, a process that can be prevented by the NLRP3 inhibitor, MCC950. In vivo administration of MCC950 reduced hepatic and ex-ASC specks, caspase-1 activation, IL-1ß production, and steatohepatitis in a murine model of AH. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates the central role of NLRP3 and ASC in alcohol-induced liver inflammation and unravels the critical role of ex-ASC specks in the propagation of systemic and liver inflammation in AH. Our data also identify NLRP3 as a potential therapeutic target in AH.

Crohn's Disease Is Associated with Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Chronic inflammation in IBD is postulated to drive NAFLD progression from steatosis to fibrosis. AIMS: To study the histopathological spectrum of NAFLD in Crohn disease (CD) and Ulcerative colitis (UC). METHODS: Patients with biopsy proven NAFLD at a quaternary center from 2008 to 2018 were included in this retrospective analysis. Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) diagnosed either clinically and/or endoscopically at the time of liver biopsy. Multivariable regression and propensity score (PS) weighted analysis were conducted. Statistical analysis were performed using SAS statistical software. RESULTS: Among 1009 patients with NAFLD a diagnosis of IBD was identified in 50 cases (34 CD and 16 UC). On multivariable analysis; CD was independently associated with significantly higher odds of advanced fibrosis (AF) on liver biopsy (adjusted OR = 4.09, 95% CI = 1.40-11.94) compared to NAFLD patients without IBD. Similar results were obtained with both the overlap PS weighted model (OR = 3.17, 95% CI = 1.55-6.49) and the PS matched model (OR = 3.49, 95% CI = 1.50-8.13). CONCLUSION: In a large cohort of patients with histologically well characterized NAFLD, AF was more common in CD patients than NAFLD patients without IBD. These findings must be confirmed in a larger cohort, but suggest CD patients with NAFLD could be at greater risk for liver fibrosis.

Macrophage-derived MLKL in alcohol-associated liver disease: Regulation of phagocytosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Mixed lineage kinase domain-like pseudokinase (MLKL), a key terminal effector of necroptosis, also plays a role in intracellular vesicle trafficking that is critical for regulating liver inflammation and injury in alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). Although receptor interacting protein kinase 3 (Rip3)-/- mice are completely protected from ethanol-induced liver injury, Mlkl-/- mice are only partially protected. Therefore, we hypothesized that cell-specific functions of MLKL may contribute to ethanol-induced injury. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Bone marrow transplants between Mlkl-/- mice and littermates were conducted to distinguish the role of myeloid versus nonmyeloid Mlkl in the Gao-binge model of ALD. Ethanol-induced hepatic injury, steatosis, and inflammation were exacerbated in Mlkl-/- →wild-type (WT) mice, whereas Mlkl deficiency in nonmyeloid cells (WT→ Mlkl-/- ) had no effect on Gao-binge ethanol-induced injury. Importantly, Mlkl deficiency in myeloid cells exacerbated ethanol-mediated bacterial burden and accumulation of immune cells in livers. Mechanistically, challenging macrophages with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) induced signal transducer and activator of transcription 1-mediated expression and phosphorylation of MLKL, as well as translocation and oligomerization of MLKL to intracellular compartments, including phagosomes and lysosomes but not plasma membrane. Importantly, pharmacological or genetic inhibition of MLKL suppressed the phagocytic capability of primary mouse Kupffer cells (KCs) at baseline and in response to LPS with/without ethanol as well as peripheral monocytes isolated from both healthy controls and patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis. Further, in vivo studies revealed that KCs of Mlkl-/- mice phagocytosed fewer bioparticles than KCs of WT mice. CONCLUSION: Together, these data indicate that myeloid MLKL restricts ethanol-induced liver inflammation and injury by regulating hepatic immune cell homeostasis and macrophage phagocytosis.

Accuracy of steatosis and fibrosis NAFLD scores in relation to vibration controlled transient elastography: An NHANES analysis.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent and increasing in the United States. Based on patient characteristics and biochemical profiles, predictive indices have been formulated to evaluate the presence and severity of NAFLD. This study evaluates the accuracy of these indices versus vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE™) to screen at-risk populations for NAFLD. METHODS: Subjects from the NHANES datasets (2017-2018) without other liver diseases with completed VCTE™ data were studied (n = 5062). Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis scores were calculated and compared with controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and elastography measurements of VCTE™, respectively. RESULTS: The prevalence of NAFLD was 58.5%. Against a CAP cut-off value of ≥238 dB/m for diagnosing fatty liver, the US fatty liver index [US-FLI] had the highest positive predictive value (90%) and specificity (63.7%). The coefficient of correlation against CAP was strong for fatty liver index [FLI] (r = 0.645) and US-FLI (r = 0.608). The hepatic steatosis index [HSI] had the highest negative predictive value (82.1%) and sensitivity (75%) for ruling out steatosis. HSI and FLI, which use commonly obtained clinical parameters, had a high diagnostic odds ratios (21.2 and 18.6, respectively) compared to US-FLI (4.97), which requires insulin levels in the calculation. These findings were similar across all ethnicities studied. CONCLUSION: US-FLI is a reliable scoring system to diagnose patients with fatty liver. HSI and FLI are more easily calculated and can be used in clinical practices to diagnose NAFLD in at-risk populations.

Lower Rates of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Observed Among Cannabis Users: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies worldwide and the fourth leading cause of cancer deaths in the world. The association between HCC and cannabis has been identified in mice; however, to our knowledge has not been identified in humans. Therefore, we aim to investigate the relation between HCC and cannabis use in humans. METHODS: Using data from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database between 2002 and 2014, we identified the patients with HCC and cannabis use diagnosis using the International Classification of Disease 9th version codes (ICD-9). Then, we identified patients without cannabis use as the control group. We adjusted for multiple potential confounders and performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to determine the association between cannabis abuse and HCC. RESULTS: A total of 101,231,036 patients were included in the study. Out of the total, 996,290 patients (1%) had the diagnosis of cannabis abuse versus 100,234,746 patients (99%) in the control group without cannabis abuse. We noticed that patients with cannabis abuse were younger (34 vs 48 years), had more males (61.7% vs 41.4%) and more African Americans (29.9% vs 14.2%) compared with the control group (P<0.001 for all). Besides, patients with cannabis use had more hepatitis B, hepatitis C, liver cirrhosis, and smoking, but had less obesity and gallstones, (P<0.001 for all). Using multivariable logistic regression, and after adjusting for potential confounders, patients with cannabis abuse were 55% less likely to have HCC (adjusted Odds Ratio {aOR}, 0.45, 95% Confidence Interval {CI}, 0.42-0.49, P<0.001) compared with patients without cannabis abuse. CONCLUSION: Based on our large database analysis, we found that cannabis use patients were 55% less likely to have HCC compared to patients without cannabis use. Further prospective studies are needed to assess the role of cannabis use on HCC.

Validation of the accuracy of the FAST™ score for detecting patients with at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in a North American cohort and comparison to other non-invasive algorithms.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Management of patients with NASH who are at elevated risk of progressing to complications of cirrhosis (at-risk NASH) would be enhanced by an accurate, noninvasive diagnostic test. The new FAST™ score, a combination of FibroScan® parameters liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST), has shown good diagnostic accuracy for at-risk NASH (area-under-the-Receiver-Operating-Characteristic [AUROC] = 0.80) in European cohorts. We aimed to validate the FAST™ score in a North American cohort and show how its diagnostic accuracy might vary by patient mix. We also compared the diagnostic performance of FAST™ to other non-invasive algorithms for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH. METHODS: We studied adults with biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) from the multicenter NASH Clinical Research Network (CRN) Adult Database 2 (DB2) cohort study. At-risk-NASH was histologically defined as definite NASH with a NAFLD Activity Score (NAS) ≥ 4 with at least 1 point in each category and a fibrosis stage ≥ 2. We used the Echosens® formula for FAST™ from LSM (kPa), CAP (dB/m), and AST (U/L), and the FAST™-based Rule-Out (FAST™ ≤ 0.35, sensitivity = 90%) and Rule-In (FAST™ ≥ 0.67, specificity = 90%) zones. We determined the following diagnostic performance measures: AUROC, sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV); these were calculated for the total sample and by subgroups of patients and by FibroScan® exam features. We also compared the at-risk NASH diagnostic performance of FAST™ to other non-invasive algorithms: NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and AST to platelet ratio index (APRI). RESULTS: The NASH CRN population of 585 patients was 62% female, 79% white, 14% Hispanic, and 73% obese; the mean age was 51 years. The mean (SD) AST and ALT were 50 (37) U/L and 66 (45) U/L, respectively. 214 (37%) had at-risk NASH. The AUROC of FAST™ for at-risk NASH in the NASH CRN study population was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77, 0.84. Using FAST™-based cut-offs, 35% of patients were ruled-out with corresponding NPV = 0.90 and 27% of patients were ruled-in with corresponding PPV = 0.69. The diagnostic accuracy of FAST™ was higher in non-whites vs. whites (AUROC: 0.91 vs 0.78; p = 0.001), and in patients with a normal BMI vs. BMI > 35 kg/m2 (AUROC: 0.94 vs 0.78, p = 0.008). No differences were observed by other patient characteristics or FibroScan® exam features. The FAST™ score had higher diagnostic accuracy than other non-invasive algorithms for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH (AUROC for NFS, FIB-4, and APRI 0.67, 0.73, 0.74, respectively). CONCLUSION: We validated the FAST™ score for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH in a large, multi-racial population in North America, with a prevalence of at-risk NASH of 37%. Diagnostic performance varies by subgroups of NASH patients defined by race and obesity. FAST™ performed better than other non-invasive algorithms for the diagnosis of at-risk NASH.

IL-1 receptor antagonist plus pentoxifylline and zinc for severe alcohol-associated hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have high mortality. Corticosteroids improve survival only for 30 days. We targeted inflammation, cellular injury, and gut leakiness in a randomized clinical trial comparing combination therapy to corticosteroids on 180-day survival. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Subjects with a clinical diagnosis of severe AH (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD] >20, Maddrey discriminant function [MDF] >32) were randomized to receive methylprednisolone (PRED; 28 days) or a combination of anakinra (14 days) plus pentoxifylline (28 days) plus zinc (COMB; 180 days). The primary endpoint was survival at 180 days. The study was designed in 2013, initiated in October 2014, and completed in March 2018. Five hundred patients were screened to randomize 104 subjects with a clinical diagnosis of AH with a MELD score >20. Fifty-three patients were randomized into the COMB and 50 to the PRED treatment; 1 dropped out of the study before randomization. Mean age was 45.3 ± 10.4 years; 60.6% were males, 92.3% White, and mean MELD 25.7 ± 3.9. Kaplan-Meier survival estimate at 180 days was 67.9% in COMB and 56% in PRED (HR = 0.69; p = 0.3001). Survival curves separated by 90 days (COMB, 69.8%; PRED, 58.0%; HR = 0.69; p = 0.28). Survival at 28 days was similar between the COMB (83.4%) and PRED groups (81.2%; HR = 0.91; p = 0.85). There were no unexpected serious adverse events, and incidence of infection was comparable between groups. MELD 20-25 and MELD >26 strata showed nonsignificant treatment effects in favor of COMB. CONCLUSIONS: A combination of anakinra, pentoxifylline plus zinc provides similar survival benefits compared to corticosteroid therapy in severe AH.

Gut microbial trimethylamine is elevated in alcohol-associated hepatitis and contributes to ethanol-induced liver injury in mice.

There is mounting evidence that microbes residing in the human intestine contribute to diverse alcohol-associated liver diseases (ALD) including the most deadly form known as alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH). However, mechanisms by which gut microbes synergize with excessive alcohol intake to promote liver injury are poorly understood. Furthermore, whether drugs that selectively target gut microbial metabolism can improve ALD has never been tested. We used liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry to quantify the levels of microbe and host choline co-metabolites in healthy controls and AH patients, finding elevated levels of the microbial metabolite trimethylamine (TMA) in AH. In subsequent studies, we treated mice with non-lethal bacterial choline TMA lyase (CutC/D) inhibitors to blunt gut microbe-dependent production of TMA in the context of chronic ethanol administration. Indices of liver injury were quantified by complementary RNA sequencing, biochemical, and histological approaches. In addition, we examined the impact of ethanol consumption and TMA lyase inhibition on gut microbiome structure via 16S rRNA sequencing. We show the gut microbial choline metabolite TMA is elevated in AH patients and correlates with reduced hepatic expression of the TMA oxygenase flavin-containing monooxygenase 3 (FMO3). Provocatively, we find that small molecule inhibition of gut microbial CutC/D activity protects mice from ethanol-induced liver injury. CutC/D inhibitor-driven improvement in ethanol-induced liver injury is associated with distinct reorganization of the gut microbiome and host liver transcriptome. The microbial metabolite TMA is elevated in patients with AH, and inhibition of TMA production from gut microbes can protect mice from ethanol-induced liver injury.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients Without Cirrhosis: The Fibrosis Stage Distribution, Characteristics and Survival.

BACKGROUND: The data on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients without liver cirrhosis is scarce. AIMS: To study the epidemiology, underlying etiology and fibrosis distribution in noncirrhotic HCC and compare the survival outcomes to cirrhotic HCC. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study including all adult patients diagnosed with HCC at two US tertiary academic centers from 2000 to 2015. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the variables associated with patient survival. RESULTS: Two thousand two hundred and thirty-seven HCC patients were included in the final analysis, of which, 13% had no liver cirrhosis. The most common underlying liver disease in non-cirrhotic patients was cryptogenic cause (40%), followed by nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (25.2%) and hepatitis C (19%). The percentage of F0-F1, F2, and F3 was 72%, 17%, and 11% (cryptogenic cause); 69%, 12%, and 19% (NAFLD); 50%, 17%, and 33% (alcohol); 33%, 39%, and 28% (hepatitis B); 20%, 40%, and 40% (hemochromatosis); and 12%, 40%, and 48% (hepatitis C), respectively. In non-cirrhotic compared to cirrhotic patients, the tumor was more likely to be larger and fell outside Milan criteria (all p < 0.001). Cirrhotic patients had significant shorter survival than non-cirrhotic patients (p < 0.001). On the multivariable analysis, having liver cirrhosis (HR 1.48; 1.21-1.82, p < 0.001), combined viral hepatitis and alcohol use (HR 1.51; 1.23-1.88, p < 0.001), morbid obesity (HR 1.31; 1.01-1.69, p = 0.040) and underweight (HR 2.06; 1.27-3.34, p = 0.004) were associated with worse patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: The fibrosis distribution in non-cirrhotic HCC differed among each etiology of liver diseases. Despite more advanced HCC, patients without cirrhosis had significantly longer survival than those with cirrhosis.

Association of Bariatric Surgery With Major Adverse Liver and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Biopsy-Proven Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis.

IMPORTANCE: No therapy has been shown to reduce the risk of serious adverse outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the long-term relationship between bariatric surgery and incident major adverse liver outcomes and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with obesity and biopsy-proven fibrotic NASH without cirrhosis. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In the SPLENDOR (Surgical Procedures and Long-term Effectiveness in NASH Disease and Obesity Risk) study, of 25 828 liver biopsies performed at a US health system between 2004 and 2016, 1158 adult patients with obesity were identified who fulfilled enrollment criteria, including confirmed histological diagnosis of NASH and presence of liver fibrosis (histological stages 1-3). Baseline clinical characteristics, histological disease activity, and fibrosis stage of patients who underwent simultaneous liver biopsy at the time of bariatric surgery were balanced with a nonsurgical control group using overlap weighting methods. Follow-up ended in March 2021. EXPOSURES: Bariatric surgery (Roux-en-Y gastric bypass, sleeve gastrectomy) vs nonsurgical care. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcomes were the incidence of major adverse liver outcomes (progression to clinical or histological cirrhosis, development of hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or liver-related mortality) and MACE (a composite of coronary artery events, cerebrovascular events, heart failure, or cardiovascular death), estimated using the Firth penalized method in a multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analysis framework. RESULTS: A total of 1158 patients (740 [63.9%] women; median age, 49.8 years [IQR, 40.9-57.9 years], median body mass index, 44.1 [IQR, 39.4-51.4]), including 650 patients who underwent bariatric surgery and 508 patients in the nonsurgical control group, with a median follow-up of 7 years (IQR, 4-10 years) were analyzed. Distribution of baseline covariates, including histological severity of liver injury, was well-balanced after overlap weighting. At the end of the study period in the unweighted data set, 5 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 40 patients in the nonsurgical control group experienced major adverse liver outcomes, and 39 patients in the bariatric surgery group and 60 patients in the nonsurgical group experienced MACE. Among the patients analyzed with overlap weighting methods, the cumulative incidence of major adverse liver outcomes at 10 years was 2.3% (95% CI, 0%-4.6%) in the bariatric surgery group and 9.6% (95% CI, 6.1%-12.9%) in the nonsurgical group (adjusted absolute risk difference, 12.4% [95% CI, 5.7%-19.7%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.12 [95% CI, 0.02-0.63]; P = .01). The cumulative incidence of MACE at 10 years was 8.5% (95% CI, 5.5%-11.4%) in the bariatric surgery group and 15.7% (95% CI, 11.3%-19.8%) in the nonsurgical group (adjusted absolute risk difference, 13.9% [95% CI, 5.9%-21.9%]; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.30 [95% CI, 0.12-0.72]; P = .007). Within the first year after bariatric surgery, 4 patients (0.6%) died from surgical complications, including gastrointestinal leak (n = 2) and respiratory failure (n = 2). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients with NASH and obesity, bariatric surgery, compared with nonsurgical management, was associated with a significantly lower risk of incident major adverse liver outcomes and MACE.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with or without cirrhosis: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data regarding the factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients without cirrhosis. We sought to determine the prevalence and factors associated with HCC in NAFLD patients with or without cirrhosis. METHODS: Adults with NAFLD (June 2015 to May 2020) were identified using the electronic health record database (Explorys Inc, Cleveland, OH) from 26 major integrated US healthcare systems. The prevalence of HCC was calculated. Multivariable analyses adjusting for covariates were performed to evaluate the associated risk factors and the presence of HCC. RESULTS: A total of 392,800 NAFLD patients were identified. Among 1110 patients with HCC, 170 (15.3%) had no cirrhosis. The prevalence of HCC in non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic NAFLD patients was 4.6/10,000 persons (95% CI 3.9-5.3), and 374.4/10,000 persons (95% CI 350.9-398.8), respectively. Age > 65 years (adjusted OR; 3.37, 95% CI 2.47-4.59), ever had elevated alanine aminotransferase (2.69; 2.14-3.37), male gender (2.57; 1.88-3.49), smoker (1.75; 1.23-2.49), and diabetes (1.56; 1.15-2.11) were associated with HCC in non-cirrhotic NAFLD (all P < 0.05). The prevalence of HCC in the non-cirrhotic with all five risk factors was 45.5/10,000 persons (95% CI 17.4-73.6). The factors associated with HCC in cirrhotic NAFLD included clinical decompensation, age > 65 years, male gender, Hispanic race, elevated alanine aminotransferase, diabetes and smoker (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: These data identified the major risk factors for the development of HCC in NAFLD patients. In the non-cirrhotics, older male patients with smoking history, diabetes and an elevated alanine aminotransferase had highest risk and may need increased judicious monitoring.